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Prediction for CME (2022-04-02T13:38:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-04-02T13:38Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19636/-1
CME Note: Large CME seen to the west in STEREO A COR2, in SOHO LASCO C2, and C3. The source of this CME is a M3.9 class flare from AR12975 peaking at 2022-04-02T13:55Z and the associated filament eruption. EUV wave is visible in SDO/AIA 171, 211, 193, and STEREO A EUVI 195. The eruption begins around 13:00Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-04T22:41Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

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% Compiled module: EAM
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Most pr. speed = 1370.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v3
Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021]
u_r =      789.510
Acceleration:     -0.675801
Duration in seconds:        205439.95
Duration in days:        2.3777772
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Acceleration of the CME:  -0.68 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  650.7 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 04/04/2022 Time: 22:41 UT
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Lead Time: 39.68 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2022-04-03T07:00Z

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